Mozambique, 2007

All Years for Mozambique: 2016 — 2013 — 2007 — 2002 — 1998 — 1995

2007 Summary Totals for Mozambique

Data Category	Definite	Probable	Possible	Speculative
Aerial or Ground Total Counts	630	0	0	0
Direct Sample Counts and Reliable Dung Counts	13,427	2,396	2,396	0
Informed Guesses	22	0	237	68
Other Guesses	0	0	0	6,912
Totals 2006	14,079	2,396	2,633	6,980

Interpretation of Changes in Estimates from Previous Report

Cause of Change	Definite	Probable	Possible	Speculative
Repeat Survey	+428	+749	+1,032	0
Different Technique	+730	0	+97	-4
Different Area	+1,254	-1,139	-1,569	0
New Guess	+19	0	0	+82
Totals	+2,432	-390	-440	+78

Area of Range Covered by Each Data Category (km²)

Data Category	Known Range	Possible Range	Total Range
Aerial or Ground Total Counts	10,786	0	10,786
Direct Sample Counts and Reliable Dung Counts	48,309	0	48,309
Informed Guesses	4,831	2,592	7,423
Other Guesses	123,197	66,794	189,991
Unassessed Range	33,853	44,423	78,276
Totals	220,977	113,809	334,786

Mozambique : Elephant Estimates

	Cause of	Survey Details²			Number of Elephants				Area	Map Location
Input Zone	Change¹	Type	Reliab.	Year	Estimate	95% C.L.	Source	PFS³	(km²)	Lon.	Lat.
Banhine National Park	NG	IG3	D	2005	0		Anderson, quest. reply, 2005	1	6,510	32.9E	22.8S
Cabo Delgado Province	-	OG3	E	1998	670		DNFFB, 1999	1	43,780	39.2E	12.4S
Cabora Bassa North	DA	AS2	B	2003	1,718	807	Dunham, 2004a	3	3,708	30.7E	15.4S
Gilé Game Reserve	-	IG3	D	2002	15	18*	C.P. Ntumi, pers. comm., 2003	3	2,100	38.4E	16.6S
Gorongosa National Park	NG	IG3	D	2004	22		Dunham, 2004b	3	3,689	34.3E	18.8S
Inhambane Province	-	OG3	E	1998	260		DNFFB, 1999	3	2,235	34.0E	22.7S
Limpopo National Park	DT	AT2	A	2006	630		Whyte, 2006	2	10,000	31.9E	23.3S
Magoe District	RS	AS2	B	2003	1,628	794	Dunham, 2004a	3	2,621	30.7E	15.9S
Manica Province	-	OG3	E	1998	260		DNFFB, 1999	1	36,441	33.5E	19.1S
Maputo GR & Futi Corridor	-	IG3	D	2002	200	50*	R. Morley, pers. comm., 2002	3	900	32.7E	26.6S
Mecuburi Forest Reserve	-	OG3	E	2002	5	5*	Anderson, quest. reply, 2002	4	195	39.0E	14.3S
Moribane-Chimanimani Forest Reserve	-	IG3	D	2002	22		C.P. Ntumi, pers. comm., 2003	4	185	33.4E	19.5S
Niassa Game Reserve & Buffer Zone	RS	AS2	B	2004	12,477	2,111	Craig & Gibson, 2004	2	42,612	37.2E	12.1S
Quirimbas National Park	NG	OG3	E	2005	2,000		Cumming & Jones, 2005	2	7,845	40.0E	12.5S
Sofala Province	-	OG3	E	1999	800	200*	DNFFB, 1999	2	33,138	34.5E	18.8S
Tete Province	-	OG3	E	1998	2,260	1650*	DNFFB, 1999	1	63,581	32.5E	15.5S
Zambezia Province	-	OG3	E	1998	657		DNFFB, 1999	1	101,289	35.9E	17.8S

* Range of informed guess

¹Key to Causes of Change (only tracked since 2007): DA: Different Area; DD: Data Degraded; DT: Different Technique; NA: New Analysis; NG: New Guess; NP: New population; PL: Population Lost; RS: Repeat Survey (RS ́ denotes a repeat survey that is not statistically comparable for reasons such as different season); –––: No Change

²Key to Survey Types: AC: Aerial Count, not specified; AS: Aerial Sample Count; AT: Aerial Total Count; DC: Dung Count; EX: Extrapolation from GIS; GD: Genetic Dung Count; GS: Ground Sample Count; GT: Ground Total Count; IG: Informed Guess; IR: Individual Registration; OG: Other Guess. Survey Type is followed by an indicator of survey quality, ranked from 1 to 3 (best to worst). Survey Reliability is keyed A-E (best to worst) as outlined in this table.

³PFS: Priority for Future Surveys, ranked from 1 to 5 (highest to lowest). Based on the precision of estimates and the proportion of national range accounted for by the site in question, PFS is a measure of the importance and urgency for future population surveys. All areas of unassessed range have a priority of 1. See Introduction for details on how the PFS is derived.